Abstract :
A bilateral exchange rate model is used to evaluate the causal relationship between the US dollar's exchange value and a stock's local and foreign returns. The flexible exchange rate period for Jan. 1978-Jun. 1991 is considered for US bilateral markets with Germany and Japan. After applying Granger causality tests, it was shown that exchange value variations of the dollar did not affect stock returns. However, causal relationships were observed for the dollar and German mark.
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