A long time ago, whether your time frame is biblical or geological, the Black Sea was a large freshwater Black "Lake." A high and dry piece of land, the Bosphorus Sill, dammed the narrow connection between the lake and the Aegean Sea, blocking the entry of salty seawater.
When Earth's last ice age waned, water frozen into vast ice sheets melted and returned to the ocean, elevating sea levels. About 9,400 years ago, Mediterranean waters rose above the dam, reconnecting the two seas. They surged over the now-submerged Bosphorus Sill with the force of 200 Niagara Falls, according to a controversial theory proposed in 1997 by Columbia University marine geologists Bill Ryan and Walter Pitman. The resulting deluge, they speculated, could have wiped out early human settlements around the lake's perimeter and inspired the Noah's Ark story in the Bible, the Sumerian epic of Gilgamesh, and catastrophic flood myths among other peoples.
The geological story behind the stories sparked a best-selling book, considerable popular interest, and a lot of subsequent research to support or refute the theory.
Now, a new study in the January 2009 issue of Quaternary Science Reviews suggests that if the flood occurred at all, it was much smaller--hardly of biblical proportions. Liviu Giosan of Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) and Florin Filip and Stefan Constantinescu of the University of Bucharest found evidence that Black Lake/Sea water levels rose only 5 to 10 meters around 9,400 years ago, not 50 to 60 meters as Ryan and his colleagues proposed. The flood would have drowned only about 2,000 square kilometers of land (about half of Rhode Island), rather than 70,000 square kilometers (more than the entire state of West Virginia).
Fueling the debate is the difficulty of finding reliable ways to reconstruct Black Lake's water level before the flood. Investigating seafloor features, Ryan and Pitman inferred former shorelines or beach dunes, now drowned, and estimated that Black Lake was at least 80 meters lower than the modern Black Sea. But sand deposits are molded and eroded by underwater currents and can be misleadingly interpreted as dunes or beaches, and so they are less-than-reliable indicators of past sea levels, Giosan and colleagues said. Instead, they went to the Danube River, which empties into the Black Sea and forms an immense, flat, stable sedimentary delta.
It's like a big tabletop that forms right where land meets water and doesn't easily move up or down. As such, it makes an excellent sea-level marker.
In 2007, Giosan and colleagues drilled a 42-meter-deep core through sediments that have piled up since the early Danube delta began forming some 10,000 years ago. At the base of the modern Danube delta, they found sediments formed in fresh water, subsequently overlaid by fine seawater sediments that flooded overtop.
Was the drowning of the first delta the result of seawater over-flowing the Bosphorus Sill and surging up the beach? To figure out when sediments are deposited, whether on the seafloor, in lakes, or on land, scientists use radiocarbon dating of organic materials found in the layer, including fossil shells of clams or snails. But that can often be misleading, because waves can erode sediments on the seabed, heave up older shells, and redeposit them in "younger" sediments.
To reduce the uncertainties, Giosan and his team used an approach that had not been used before in the Black Sea. They dated only bivalve shells whose halves were still attached, as they are when the animals are alive. The shells are held together by an organic substance. It degrades quickly, and the shells separate when the animal dies. Still-attached shells indicate that the animals died at the time the layer was created and were not subsequently moved by waves.
Combining the more precise dating technique with a more reliable sea-level marker, the researchers could be confident in their conclusion that the "Black Lake" water level at the time of the flood was around 30--not 80--meters lower than present, and the flood raised the level by only 5 to 10--not 50 to 60--meters. A more modest flood "still could have put an area of 2,000 square kilometers of prime agricultural land in the Danube delta under water, which has important implications for the archaeology and anthropology of Europe," Giosan said.
But was it enough to prompt an ark?
The WHOI Coastal Ocean Institute, U.S. National Science Foundation, and Romanian National Science Foundation funded the research.