IMF-Supported Programs and Sovereign Debt Crises.

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Date: June 2021
From: IMF Economic Review(Vol. 69, Issue 2)
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. (Springer)
Document Type: Report
Length: 9,981 words
Lexile Measure: 1490L

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Abstract :

This paper studies the role of IMF-supported programs in mitigating the likelihood of subsequent sovereign defaults in borrowing countries. Using a panel of 106 developing countries from 1970 to 2016 and an entropy balancing methodology, we find that IMF-supported programs significantly reduce the likelihood of subsequent sovereign defaults. This finding is robust to different specifications of the entropy balancing and alternative identification strategies. Our results suggest that a country that signs a program with the IMF typically experiences a slight improvement in its sovereign credit rating and a decrease in both government debt-to-GDP and fiscal deficit-to-GDP during the program period compared to the period before.

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Gale Document Number: GALE|A666229975