Electric vehicles are coming, but their impact will be evolutionary, not revolutionary.

Citation metadata

Authors: S. George and M. Routt
Date: July 2019
Publisher: Gulf Publishing Co.
Document Type: Article
Length: 648 words
Lexile Measure: 1300L

Document controls

Main content

Article Preview :

Alternatively fueled vehicles (AFVs) are getting plenty of press these days, but their market penetration is still a long way from critical mass. Their impact on transport fuel markets is likely to be small over the next decade.

The replacement of the internal combustion engine (ICE) with AFVs makes for compelling political sound bites, but reality is quite different. The end of ICE technology is overstated; even after 30 yr, AFVs are likely to represent only 20% of the total private vehicle and public transport fleet. ICEs burning lower-carbon fuels will remain a viable route to lower greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for decades to come.

Hybrid vehicles are a transition technology at best. In the long term, automakers are looking to fully adopt electric vehicles (EVs). The technology is improving, but costs are still high, infrastructure is lacking and EVs are gaining consumer acceptance only where government mandates and subsidies help price them into the market. The adoption of EVs has less...

Source Citation

Source Citation   

Gale Document Number: GALE|A602105757