The impact of population dynamics and foreign labour policy on dependency: the case of Singapore

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From: Journal of Population Research(Vol. 32, Issue 2)
Publisher: Springer
Document Type: Report
Length: 159 words

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Abstract :

Byline: John Pastor Ansah (1), Crystal M. Riley (2), James P. Thompson (1), David Bruce Matchar (1) Keywords: Population; Ageing; Dependency ratio; System dynamics; Fertility rate; Mortality rate; Foreign labour; Immigration; Simulation; Dynamic equilibrium Abstract: Understanding population dynamics is crucial to understanding current and future health care needs and designing systems to meet those needs. In this paper, we provide a methodological approach to investigate population dynamics in a system dynamics model configurable to initialise in dynamic equilibrium or disequilibrium. We then use the model to investigate how the current measured population compares to a population of the same size in equilibrium, and how a dependency ratio will change over time under different scenarios. We apply our approach to Singapore, which, like many other countries, has a rapidly increasing proportion of elderly in the population. Author Affiliation: (1) Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore (2) Washington University, St. Louis, MO, USA Article History: Registration Date: 11/05/2015 Online Date: 05/06/2015

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Gale Document Number: GALE|A417582610